Thursday, March 18, 2010

Barbara Boxer in Dead Heat

Senator Barbara Boxer (D - Michigan of the West) is facing a difficult challenge in her search for a 4th term in the Senate.

A new Field Poll shows her losing by a point to former Representative Tom Campbell and up a point on former HP CEO Carly Fiorina.

The poll also shows that Campbell has a 26-22 lead over Fiorina for the Republican nomination, with 40 undecided.

Boxer has a 51% unfavorable rating, which is a death knell for any politician seeking reelection.

If she is to lose, it gets Republicans one difficult step closer to reclaiming control of the Senate. Republicans will likely gain seats in North Dakota (open), Delaware (open), Indiana (open), Arkansas (Lincoln), Nevada (Reid). They have a chance for further pickups in Colorado (Bennett) and Pennsylvania (Specter). That gets them to seven. Then they need three more difficult seats out of a group of California, Wisconsin (Feingold - likely to lose if Tommy Thompson enters the race), Illinois (open), New York (Gillenbrand - who would lose to Pataki) and Washington (Murray).

So, it's possible, but will be difficult. However, if Scott Brown can do it, why not the others?

1 comment:

Karen M. Peterson said...

It's going to be close. But it's certainly possible.

Honestly, if Boxer can lose, no one should feel safe.